SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062235
FLZ000-070000-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0572
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0535 PM CDT SUN APR 06 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN FL PENINSULA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 062235Z - 070000Z
STRONG/ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE TO FORM...AND PROBABLY WILL
PERSIST ANOTHER COUPLE OF HOURS BEFORE DIMINISHING.
THE SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE ZONE...EXTENDING ACROSS WESTERN INTERIOR
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA INTO THE VICINITY OF A SLOWLY
SOUTHWARD ADVANCING CONVECTIVELY GENERATED COLD POOL ACROSS THE
SOUTH CENTRAL PENINSULA...REMAINS A FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE INITIATION
EARLY THIS EVENING. INHIBITION FOR MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER PARCELS
WITH CAPE AROUND 1500 J/KG IS STILL WEAK...AND ADDITIONAL STORM
DEVELOPMENT APPEARS POSSIBLE THROUGH 00-01Z.
10-20 KT WESTERLY MEAN FLOW IS AIDING DEVELOPMENT OFF BOUNDARY
TOWARD SOUTHEASTERN COASTAL AREAS NEAR/NORTH OF MIAMI...WHERE
SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE WINDS ARE CONTRIBUTING TO MODERATELY STRONG
DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF UPDRAFT ROTATION. LOCALIZED DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS/SOME HAIL AND PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO WILL CONTINUE TO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE ONGOING CELL NEAR/NORTHWEST THROUGH NORTH OF FORT
LAUDERDALE. AND...THE EVOLUTION OF AN ADDITIONAL ISOLATED SUPERCELL
IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION TO THE WEST/NORTHWEST OF MIAMI...BEFORE
STABILIZATION OCCURS ASSOCIATED WITH THE ONSET OF MORE RAPID
BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING.
OTHERWISE...THE CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW/SEA BREEZE INTERSECTION WILL
PROVIDE AN ADDITIONAL POSSIBLE FOCUS FOR SUSTAINED CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...MAINLY WEST/NORTHWEST OF
LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
.KERR.. 04/06/2008
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...
25368090 25588108 26178133 26678147 27008145 27208080
27238044 27068023 26788011 26318016 25998022 25708031
25358048 25368065
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