SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231420
KSZ000-231545-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0697
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0920 AM CDT WED APR 23 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...KS
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 231420Z - 231545Z
A RISK FOR SEVERE HAIL WILL EXIST ACROSS MUCH OF KS THROUGH THE
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. A WATCH IS LIKELY SOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF
WESTERN/CENTRAL KS.
SCATTERED STRONG-SEVERE STORMS HAVE GRADUALLY INCREASED THROUGH THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS ACROSS SOUTHERN/CENTRAL KS AMIDST A WARM
ADVECTION/ISENTROPIC LIFT REGIME. SHORT TERM TRENDS/MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS STORMS ARE LIKELY TO INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE ACROSS A
LARGE PART OF KS THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING. AROUND 35-40 KT OF
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR WILL PROVIDE FOR SOME STORM
ORGANIZATION/UPDRAFT ROTATION...ENHANCING THE RISK FOR SEVERE HAIL
AMIDST A THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY VERY STEEP MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND 2000-3000 J/KG MUCAPE PER EARLY MORNING
OBSERVED RAOBS FROM LAMONT OK/DODGE CITY KS.
..GUYER.. 04/23/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...
37320062 38880063 39299793 38839570 37379582 37079798
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