Monday, April 28, 2008

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0752

ACUS11 KWNS 281944
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281944
FLZ000-GAZ000-282045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0752
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0244 PM CDT MON APR 28 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NRN FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 281944Z - 282045Z

ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT MAY ACCOMPANY BOW ECHO/MESOLOW OVER NRN FL
THROUGH 2045Z.

RECENT JAX RADAR TRENDS SUGGEST EVOLVING BOW ECHO/MESOLOW
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX WILL CONTINUE EWD TOWARDS JAX OVER THE NEXT HR.
JAX VAD INDICATES SUPPORTIVE LOW LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES FOR TORNADOES
DESPITE RELATIVELY SMALL VEERING IN THE LOWEST 2 KM. SURFACE
ANALYSIS OVER THE LAST 3 HRS DEPICTS NEARLY 1MB SURFACE PRESSURE
FALLS/HR COMBINED WITH A LOCALIZED INCREASE IN SURFACE DEWPOINTS E
OF THUNDERSTORMS / + 4 DEG. C/. AS A RESULT...AT LEAST SOME
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A BRIEF ISOLATED TORNADO WITHIN THE NEXT HR.

..SMITH.. 04/28/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...

30378232 30668219 30758176 30618138 30238127 30028151
30008189 30068226 30218231

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