Saturday, May 3, 2008

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 031958
SWODY1
SPC AC 031956

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0256 PM CDT SAT MAY 03 2008

VALID 032000Z - 041200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...LOWER GREAT LAKES SSWWD ACROSS THE TN VALLEY...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE MOVING EWD ACROSS THE
LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION ATTM...AHEAD OF SURFACE FRONT AND
ASSOCIATED MID-LEVEL VORT MAX. CUMULUS IS ALSO INCREASING SWD ALONG
THE FRONT ACROSS WRN OH/CENTRAL KY/MIDDLE TN AND INTO MS.

INSTABILITY ACROSS THIS REGION/AHEAD OF THE FRONT REMAINS QUITE
LIMITED. HOWEVER AMPLE SHEAR WOULD SUPPORT ORGANIZATION WITH ANY
SUSTAINED/DEEPER UPDRAFT -- PARTICULARLY ACROSS NRN PORTIONS OF THIS
REGION. THUS -- DESPITE THE OVERALL LACK OF INSTABILITY AND THUS
LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS...WILL MAINTAIN LOW SEVERE
PROBABILITY ACROSS THE AREA.

...SERN AL/SWRN GA/CENTRAL AND ERN FL PANHANDLE...
SMALL ZONE OF AMPLE INSTABILITY IS INDICATED AHEAD OF ONGOING MCS --
NOW MOVING SEWD ACROSS THIS AREA AND THE ADJACENT N CENTRAL GULF.
WITH AMPLE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IN PLACE FOR AT LEAST MULTICELL
ORGANIZATION...WILL MAINTAIN LOW SEVERE PROBABILITY ACROSS THIS
REGION THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.

..GOSS.. 05/03/2008

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