Tuesday, June 10, 2008

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1315

ACUS11 KWNS 102251
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102251
NHZ000-VTZ000-MAZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-102345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1315
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0551 PM CDT TUE JUN 10 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...A LARGE PORTION OF THE NORTHEAST

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 501...502...

VALID 102251Z - 102345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
501...502...CONTINUES.

NUMEROUS STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE EVOLVED ACROSS A LARGE
PORTION OF THE NORTHEASTERN U.S. FROM UPSTATE NY...SWD INTO MD.
THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPANDING IN AREAL COVERAGE WITHIN A BROADER ZONE
OF LOW LEVEL CONFLUENCE AND VERY STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES.
BOUNDARY LAYER AIRMASS IS QUITE WARM AND UNTIL SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING OCCURS AN ENHANCED SEVERE THREAT WILL
PERSIST. OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS IT APPEARS MULTIPLE MCS'S WILL
EMERGE ACROSS THIS REGION AS DEEP BROAD SWLY FLOW FORCES
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND. IT'S NOT ENTIRELY
CLEAR HOW UPDRAFTS WILL INTERACT WITH SEA BREEZE OVER SRN NEW
ENGLAND...BUT AIRMASS REMAINS BUOYANT AND SHOULD SUPPORT
STRONG/SEVERE UPDRAFTS.

..DARROW.. 06/10/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX...

43837195 40277464 38957647 39827770 44157449

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