Saturday, June 14, 2008

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1379

ACUS11 KWNS 142305
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142304
MNZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-150030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1379
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0604 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...ND/NORTHEAST SD AND MUCH OF MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 529...530...

VALID 142304Z - 150030Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
529...530...CONTINUES.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCHES 529/530 CONTINUE UNTIL 02Z ACROSS
PORTIONS OF ND/NORTHEAST SD INTO MN. AN ADDITIONAL WATCH COULD BE
NEEDED IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO DOWNSTREAM ACROSS NORTHEAST/EAST
CENTRAL MN.

ACROSS SEVERE TSTM WATCH 530...A CLUSTER OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS
CONTINUES TO QUICKLY SPREAD EAST-SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 40 KT INTO FAR
WEST CENTRAL/NORTHWEST MN AS OF 2245Z. A 41 KT GUST WAS RECENTLY
MEASURED AT MOORHEAD MN AS OF 2334Z. ACROSS SEVERE TSTM WATCH
529...A SOMEWHAT FASTER MOVING LINE OF SEVERE STORMS /45+ KT/
CONTINUES TO RACE EASTWARD ACROSS EAST CENTRAL ND. A 58 KT GUST WAS
MEASURED AT MINOT INTL AIRPORT AT 2140Z...WITH MINOT AIR FORCE BASE
MEASURING A 52 KT GUST. A DAMAGING WIND THREAT APPEARS LIKELY TO
INCREASE TOWARD THE DEVILS LAKE/JAMESTOWN AREAS OVER THE NEXT HOUR.

OVERALL...EXPECTED CONTINUAL CONSOLIDATION OF ONGOING STORMS WITH AN
INCREASE IN SURFACE COLD POOLS/MCS MATURATION FROM EASTERN ND INTO
CENTRAL MN THROUGH EARLY EVENING. SEVERE HAIL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
GIVEN VERY STEEP LOW TO MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...BUT SWATHS OF WIND
DAMAGE SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY RISK BENEATH 50-60 KT MID LEVEL
WEST-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.

THE EVOLVING CLUSTER OF STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS CURRENTLY ACROSS
NORTHWEST/WEST CENTRAL MN COULD BREACH WW 530 AS EARLY AS 00Z-0030Z.
CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CLOSELY BE MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
AN ADDITIONAL WATCH DOWNSTREAM INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST/EAST
CENTRAL MN.

..GUYER.. 06/14/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...ABR...BIS...

48830169 48819878 48169515 47069249 45919301 44269328
45569760 46480018 47400079

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