Sunday, June 15, 2008

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1403

ACUS11 KWNS 152310
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152309
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-160015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1403
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0609 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTRM SERN KS...NERN OK...NW AND NCNTRL AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 152309Z - 160015Z

A WATCH IS POSSIBLE IN THE AREA AS LATEST SATELLITE AND RADAR TRENDS
INDICATE INCREASE IN CONVECTION AND RUC MODEL INDICATES MODERATE TO
STRONG INSTABILITY.

STORMS HAVE CONTINUED TO ADVANCE SOUTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI
WITH OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM EXTREME SE KS TO NEAR THE
MISSOURI/ARKANSAS BORDER. MIXED LAYER CAPE OF 3500 TO OVER 4000
J/KG COMBINED WITH SOUTHWARD ADVANCING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WITH LITTLE
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION SHOULD ALLOW AN INCREASE IN STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS.

..BOTHWELL.. 06/15/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...ICT...

35479543 35679561 36409599 36819622 36949617 37279557
37229489 36519253 36329139 34939146 34969373 35329520

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