SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060038
NEZ000-SDZ000-060145-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1692
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0738 PM CDT SAT JUL 05 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL NEBRASKA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 658...
VALID 060038Z - 060145Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 658
CONTINUES.
IT APPEARS THAT A LIMITED SEVERE RISK STILL EXISTS FOR THE NEXT FEW
HOURS ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL NE. THE MAIN THREATS WITH THE
STRONGER STORMS APPEAR TO BE ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL/WIND.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS CRESTING THE
UPPER RIDGE OVER THE N-CENTRAL PLAINS. WHILE A STRONG CAP CURRENTLY
EXISTS PER LBF 00Z RAOB /16C DEG AT 700MB/ STORM SCALE PROCESSES MAY
COMPENSATE IN SUSTAINING EXISTING STORMS. IT APPEARS THE GREATEST
REMAINING SEVERE RISK IS LOCATED SE OF ONGOING ACTIVITY...WHERE THE
AIRMASS HAS NOT BE CONVECTIVELY OVERTURNED OR INHIBITED AS MUCH BY
CLOUD COVER. LATEST RADAR IMAGERY IS INDICATING STORMS MAY BE
DEVELOPING A SUFFICIENT COLD POOL. THIS WOULD AID IN STORM
ORGANIZATION AND MAY RESULT IN A CONTINUED RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS
AND PERHAPS LARGE HAIL IN CUSTER/LOUP AND PERHAPS LINCOLN COUNTIES.
..SMITH.. 07/06/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...
40710125 42070141 42060013 42980019 42959831 42089827
42079922 41029917 41010019 40690019
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