Saturday, July 26, 2008

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1926

ACUS11 KWNS 270038
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270038
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-270145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1926
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0738 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND ERN KS/EXTREME SERN NEB/WRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 753...

VALID 270038Z - 270145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 753
CONTINUES.

GENERALLY SLOW MOVING TSTMS...SOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WILL CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP ACROSS NERN KS AND ADJACENT PARTS OF NWRN MO EARLY THIS
EVENING. AIR MASS REMAINS VERY UNSTABLE /MLCAPE IN EXCESS OF 3000
J/KG PER TOP 00Z SOUNDING AND OBJECTIVE ANALYSES/ FROM KS/NEB BORDER
TO CENTRAL/SRN MO. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 40-50 KT REMAINS
SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED STORMS WITH A THREAT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS
AND HAIL.

ELSEWHERE OVER SRN-SERN KS AND SWRN MO...TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP EARLY THIS EVENING ALONG AND N OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES
MOVING SWD AND SWWD ACROSS SRN KS AND SERN KS/SWRN MO...
RESPECTIVELY. ALTHOUGH THE AIR MASS IS MODERATELY UNSTABLE IN THESE
LOCATIONS...WEAKER DEEP LAYER SHEAR SHOULD CONTINUE TO LIMIT THE
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. GREATEST THREAT FROM THESE GENERALLY SLOW
MOVING STORMS WITHIN A VERY MOIST AIR MASS SHOULD BE HEAVY RAINFALL
RATES.

..PETERS.. 07/27/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...

38189725 38769644 40029644 40249639 40269547 39169415
38689402 38069446 37979535

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