SWOMCD
SPC MCD 141406
FLZ000-GAZ000-141530-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2087
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0906 AM CDT THU AUG 14 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AND CENTRAL FL
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 141406Z - 141530Z
LOCALLY-DAMAGING WIND/MARGINAL HAIL THREAT WITH THUNDERSTORMS MOVING
ACROSS NRN AND CENTRAL FL THIS MORNING WILL PERSIST. WHILE WW IS
NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM...THE POSSIBILITY OF AN INCREASING THREAT INTO
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON COULD EVENTUALLY REQUIRE WW ISSUANCE.
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION CONTINUES ATTM FROM THE NRN GULF EWD INTO NRN
AND CENTRAL FL...INVOF A WEAK/REMNANT FRONT. STORMS AFFECTING THE
FL PENINSULA ATTM APPEAR TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK MESOLOW
CROSSING NRN FL...AIDED BY MODEST INSTABILITY AND AMPLE SHEAR FOR
LIMITED UPDRAFT ORGANIZATION.
THIS INITIAL BAND OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE MOVING EWD NEAR 30
KT...MOVING OFF THE FL ATLANTIC COAST BETWEEN 15 AND 17Z.
HOWEVER...WITH A POTENTIAL FOR HEATING/DESTABILIZATION BEHIND THE
INITIAL BAND OF STORMS...AND MODERATE/ROUGHLY UNIDIRECTIONAL
DEEP-LAYER FLOW...ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF ORGANIZED/POTENTIALLY-SEVERE
STORMS -- AND ASSOCIATED THREAT FOR PRIMARILY DAMAGING WINDS --
SHOULD EVOLVE INTO THE AFTERNOON.
..GOSS.. 08/14/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...
30398205 30458133 29398071 28338074 27388218 27518305
29248364 29778363 30508270
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