Tuesday, August 19, 2008

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2119

ACUS11 KWNS 191030
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 191029
FLZ000-191100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2119
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0529 AM CDT TUE AUG 19 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND ERN FL PENINSULA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 840...

VALID 191029Z - 191100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 840 CONTINUES.

A NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SOON TO REPLACE WW 840 ACROSS
PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND ERN FL PENINSULA. THE NEW WW WILL LIKELY
NOT INCLUDE ANY FL COUNTIES TO THE SOUTH OF BROWARD COUNTY...WITH
THE NEW WW ALSO EXTENDING NWD TO THE VOLUSIA/FLAGLER COUNTIES LINE.

OBJECTIVE ANALYSES EARLY THIS MORNING CONTINUE TO SHOW STRONGER LOW
LEVEL SHEAR VALUES SPREADING NWD ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA AS T.S. FAY
MOVES NEWD PER LATEST NHC FORECAST...FROM THE CURRENT POSITION
CENTERED OVER WRN COLLIER COUNTY. GIVEN THE EXPECTED TRACK OF FAY
TOWARD EAST CENTRAL FL TODAY...THE GREATEST RISK FOR TORNADOES IS
EXPECTED TO SHIFT NEWD...AFFECTING MAINLY CENTRAL AND ERN PARTS OF
THE PENINSULA.

..PETERS.. 08/19/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...JAX...

25938086 26268127 26998161 27738194 28308210 28928196
29358154 29448077 28117979 26207921 25957993

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