SWOD48
SPC AC 020856
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0356 AM CDT TUE SEP 02 2008
VALID 051200Z - 101200Z
...DISCUSSION...
A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED PATTERN...GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED BY A CENTRAL
STATES LONGWAVE TROUGH...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK
PER LATEST DETERMINISTIC/ENSEMBLE MODEL GUIDANCE. REMNANTS OF GUSTAV
ARE EXPECTED TO HAVE SUFFICIENTLY WEAKENED/BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY
DAY 4/FRIDAY SUCH THAT ORGANIZED SEVERE TSTMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
FOCUS FOR SEVERE TSTM/TORNADO POTENTIAL THEN SHIFTS TOWARD THE
APPROACH OF HURRICANE HANNA...WITH LATEST NHC FORECASTS SUGGESTING A
DAY 4/FRIDAY LANDFALL ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES COAST.
ACCORDINGLY...A TORNADO THREAT COULD EXIST ON FRIDAY...SEEMINGLY
MOST LIKELY ACROSS THE CAROLINAS. OTHER SEVERE TSTMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS LATE THIS WEEK /DAYS 4-5
FRIDAY-SATURDAY/ OWING TO A PERSISTENT UPSLOPE REGIME BENEATH
MODERATELY STRONG FLOW ALOFT.
..GUYER.. 09/02/2008
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment