SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081906
FLZ000-082000-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2233
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0206 PM CDT MON SEP 08 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SRN FL/FL KEYS
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 081906Z - 082000Z
ISOLATED SHORT LIVED WATERSPOUTS/TORNADOES MAY BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS...MAINLY NEAR THE FL KEYS. THREAT IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN MINIMAL AT THIS TIME...AND A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
HURRICANE IKE IS CONTINUING ITS SLOW WWD PROGRESSION WITH THE CENTER
S OF CUBA. NEAR THE FL KEYS AND EXTREME SRN FL...NRN MOST EXTENT OF
A CONVERGENT BAND IS SUPPORTING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. MIAMI AND
KEY WEST RADARS HAVE INDICATED OCCASIONAL WEAK LOW LEVEL
ROTATION...MOST RECENTLY NOTED IN A SHOWER JUST N OF KEY COLONY
BEACH. 0-1 KM SHEAR HAS GRADUALLY INCREASED OVER THE PAST
HOUR...WITH VAD WIND PROFILE DATA INDICATING ROUGHLY 20 TO 25 KTS.
THIS MAY SUPPORT BRIEF/WEAK LOW LEVEL ROTATION...ALTHOUGH THE THREAT
WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS THIS BAND QUICKLY PROGRESSES WWD.
FURTHERMORE...VIS SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES STORMS ARE MAINLY
OUTFLOW DOMINATED...WHILE FARTHER N SUBSIDENCE IS INHIBITING
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE FL PENINSULA.
..HURLBUT.. 09/08/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...MFL...KEY...
24398034 24218141 24288207 24608212 24908160 25158096
25198060 24768034 24648035
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