SWODY1
SPC AC 140511
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1211 AM CDT TUE OCT 14 2008
VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
POSITIVE TILT TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES WILL BEGIN TO ADVANCE
NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY...GRADUALLY PHASING
LATE IN THE PERIOD WITH AN ACTIVE BELT OF WESTERLIES ACROSS THE
NORTHERN TIER OF STATES. LOW LEVEL FRONTAL ZONE FROM NM/WEST TX
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE OZARKS WILL BE THE PRIMARY FOCUS FOR TSTM
POTENTIAL TODAY...WITH ADDITIONAL TSTMS POSSIBLE IN THE WEAKLY
CAPPED WARM SECTOR FROM SOUTHEAST TX TO THE ARKLATEX VICINITY.
OVERALL...LIMITED INSTABILITY/POOR MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND WEAK
VERTICAL SHEAR IN THE WARM SECTOR WILL PRECLUDE AN ORGANIZED SEVERE
RISK.
..GUYER/JEWELL.. 10/14/2008
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