Sunday, October 19, 2008

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 191614
SWODY1
SPC AC 191611

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1111 AM CDT SUN OCT 19 2008

VALID 191630Z - 201200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A LARGELY ZONAL UPPER-LEVEL FLOW REGIME AND LIMITED MOISTURE WILL
PROVE HOSTILE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR DEEP MOIST CONVECTION ACROSS MUCH
OF THE CONUS. THE LONE EXCEPTION MAY BE FROM NRN IA TO NRN LOWER MI
AS A COUPLE OF LOW-AMPLITUDE MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCES TRAVERSE A
LOWER-LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE THROUGH THE PERIOD. ALTHOUGH A FEW
LIGHTNING STRIKES FROM ELEVATED CONVECTION CANNOT BE RULED OUT...THE
PROBABILITY FOR TSTMS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 10 PERCENT IN THIS REGION.

..GRAMS.. 10/19/2008

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