Tuesday, October 28, 2008

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 281240
SWODY1
SPC AC 281237

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0737 AM CDT TUE OCT 28 2008

VALID 281300Z - 291200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NEW ENGLAND TODAY...
A DEEPENING CYCLONE JUST S OF LONG ISLAND WILL BECOME VERTICALLY
STACKED/OCCLUDED AS IT LIFTS NWD ACROSS SRN NEW ENGLAND TODAY AND
REACHES SRN QUEBEC LATE TONIGHT. AN INFLUX OF MODIFYING AIR ACROSS
THE WRN ATLANTIC /WITHIN THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT/ WILL RESULT IN
DESTABILIZATION AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY
OVER SRN NEW ENGLAND TODAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE ZONE OF STRONGEST LOW-LEVEL ASCENT NEAR THE SURFACE
LOW/COLD FRONT ACROSS THE SE NEW ENGLAND COAST...AND WITHIN THE ZONE
OF STRONG WAA/FRONTOGENESIS N OF THE LOW INTO INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND.
THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL BE RELATIVELY GREATER ALONG THE SRN NEW
ENGLAND COAST IN PROXIMITY TO THE SOURCE REGION FOR THE LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE.

..THOMPSON/JEWELL.. 10/28/2008

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