SWODY1
SPC AC 141557
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1057 AM CDT TUE OCT 14 2008
VALID 141630Z - 151200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
A WEAKENING UPPER LOW/TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION
THIS MORNING WILL LIFT NEWD /AROUND A STRONG UPPER RIDGE CENTERED
OVER THE SE/ AND INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH TONIGHT. AHEAD OF
THIS SYSTEM...DEEP MOISTURE AND ISENTROPIC LIFT ALONG AND NORTH OF A
WARM FRONT /EXTENDING FROM SWRN TX INTO CENTRAL MO/ WILL SUPPORT
WIDESPREAD RAIN WITH EMBEDDED TSTMS FROM THE WRN TX/ERN NM PLAINS
NEWD INTO PORTIONS OF KS/WRN MO. DESPITE INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR
ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH...AN ENVIRONMENT
CHARACTERIZED BY MODEST INSTABILITY /OWING TO MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
FROM 5.5 TO 6.0 DEG C/KM/ WILL LIMIT UPDRAFT STRENGTH AND MITIGATE
THE POTENTIAL FOR SVR HAIL/WIND GUSTS. ADDITIONAL TSTMS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE IN A REGION OF MODEST WAA FROM ERN TX NEWD INTO NRN AR/SRN
MO ASSOCIATED WITH DEEPER MOISTURE/WEAK INHIBITION. WEAK MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AND LIMITED INSTABILITY WILL EXIST IN THIS AREA AS WELL
PRECLUDING ANY SVR THREAT.
..CROSBIE/HALES.. 10/14/2008
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