SWODY1
SPC AC 091238
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0738 AM CDT THU OCT 09 2008
VALID 091300Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS MUCH OF FL INTO SRN GA
AND A SMALL PART OF SC...
...SOUTHEAST...
PRIMARY FOCUS FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN
FOCUSED NEAR AND AHEAD OF WELL-DEFINED STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW
NOW DIGGING SLOWLY ESEWD ACROSS GA. SURFACE LOW OBSERVED NEAR THE
BIG BEND REGION OF NWRN FL EARLY TODAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE LITTLE
...WITH EFFECTIVE WARM FRONT EXTENDING ENEWD ACROSS SRN GA INTO
SRN/CENTRAL SC THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL CONFINE VERY MOIST WARM
SECTOR ACROSS FL INTO SERN GA/SRN SC TODAY WHERE SEASONABLY COOL MID
LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE LOWER/MID 80S SUPPORT
MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD NEAR THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW...INVOF COLDEST MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES. OTHER
STORMS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR AS SEA BREEZES BECOME
ACTIVE AND CAP ERODES DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING. ALTHOUGH LOW
TO MID LEVEL SHEAR WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT MODEST ACROSS THE
REGION...25-35 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR SHOULD STILL PROVE SUFFICIENT FOR
ORGANIZED MULTICELL CLUSTERS/LINES AND BRIEF SUPERCELLS. LARGE HAIL
AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR TO BE PRIMARY SEVERE
THREATS...THOUGH A BRIEF TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.
..EVANS/SMITH.. 10/09/2008
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