Thursday, October 16, 2008

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 161701
SWODY2
SPC AC 161659

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1159 AM CDT THU OCT 16 2008

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
NRN ROCKIES SHORT WAVE TROUGH AMPLIFYING SEWD INTO THE PLAINS DURING
DAY 1 PERIOD WILL UNDERGO FURTHER AMPLIFICATION INTO THE OH/TN
VALLEYS AND GULF COAST STATES FRIDAY AS UPSTREAM RIDGE BUILDS EWD
ACROSS THE ROCKIES/PLAINS. A FEW WEAK IMPULSES EMANATING FROM A
LARGE CIRCULATION OVER NRN MEXICO AND WITHIN MOISTURE PLUME OVER THE
WRN GULF SHOULD TRACK NEWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND SERN
STATES DURING DAY 2.

IN THE LOW LEVELS AT 12Z FRIDAY...A SURFACE FRONT SHOULD EXTEND WWD
THROUGH NC TO THE SRN APPALACHIANS AND THEN SWWD THROUGH SERN LA TO
THE WRN GULF. THIS BOUNDARY WILL MOVE SEWD...AND SHOULD BE LOCATED
OFF THE ATLANTIC AND GULF COASTS AND INTO SRN GA BY 12Z SATURDAY.
DESPITE SURFACE HEATING IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT...WEAK LAPSE RATES
WILL INHIBIT THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG INSTABILITY. ASCENT
ATTENDANT TO THE FEW WEAK IMPULSES TRAVERSING NEWD ALONG THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY COMBINED WITH WEAK INSTABILITY MAY SUPPORT CONVECTION...
BUT SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

..PETERS.. 10/16/2008

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