Thursday, October 16, 2008

DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 160808
SWOD48
SPC AC 160807

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0307 AM CDT THU OCT 16 2008

VALID 191200Z - 241200Z

...DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH
RESPECT TO HANDLING OF THE MAJOR FEATURES. BOTH FORECAST A
PROGRESSIVE MID-LEVEL PATTERN OVER THE CONUS...WITH A SERIES OF
UPPER TROUGHS MOVING ACROSS THE U.S. THROUGH THE PERIOD.

WHILE EACH OF THESE TROUGHS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A SURFACE COLD
FRONT...THE INITIAL FRONT PROGGED TO MOVE SWD THROUGH FL AND THE
GULF OF MEXICO PRIOR TO THE START OF THE PERIOD WILL CONTINUE TO
USHER IN A COOLER/DRIER CONTINENTAL AIRMASS. THUS -- WITH RICHER
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE SUPPRESSED S OF THE CONUS...LITTLE POTENTIAL FOR
ADEQUATE WARM SECTOR DESTABILIZATION AHEAD OF NEW FRONTAL PASSAGES
SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY APPRECIABLE SEVERE THREAT.

..GOSS.. 10/16/2008

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