SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011824
NHZ000-MAZ000-VTZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-012000-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2304
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0124 PM CDT WED OCT 01 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SRN NEW ENGLAND
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 011824Z - 012000Z
TSTM COVERAGE WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO INCREASE DURING THE EARLY
AFTERNOON HRS. THE STRONGER STORMS MAY CAPABLE OF MAINLY AN
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL THREAT.
LATEST SURFACE MESOANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH A
COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT ORIENTED N-S ALONG THE NY/VT STATE LINE. MODEST
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS CHARACTERIZED BY DEWPTS IN THE MID-UPPER 50S
OVER PARTS OF SRN VT AND WRN MA. A THERMAL/INSTABILITY AXIS EXTENDS
NWD FROM COASTAL CT TO NEAR PSF.
RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SUFFICIENT SURFACE
HEATING HAS COMMENCED THE PAST FEW HRS BEHIND CONVECTION NOW MOVING
E OF BOS. MODIFIED 12Z ALB RAOB SUGGESTS ONLY WEAK INSTABILITY /500
J/KG SBCAPE/ HAS DEVELOPED IN ITS WAKE. NONETHELESS...COOL
MID-LEVEL TEMPS ALOFT /-16 TO -18 DEG C AT 500MB/...WILL IN TURN
SUPPORT HAIL GROWTH POTENTIAL WITH MAINLY THE STRONGER DISCRETE
UPDRAFTS.
..SMITH.. 10/01/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...ALY...
41997352 42157371 43527356 43807340 43877269 43597198
42787211 42327230 42037269
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment