Monday, November 3, 2008

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 031250
SWODY1
SPC AC 031248

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0648 AM CST MON NOV 03 2008

VALID 031300Z - 041200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
BROAD...NEGATIVE TILT...AND SLOWLY PROGRESSIVE E PACIFIC TROUGH WILL
MOVE INLAND THIS PERIOD AS WEAK RIDGE PERSISTS FROM THE SRN PLNS TO
MID MS VLY. FARTHER E...TWO WEAK DISTURBANCES...ONE NOW OVER LWR MI
AND THE OTHER OVER N FL...WILL RESPECTIVELY AFFECT THE UPR OH VLY
AND S ATLANTIC CST.

...W CST...
SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW NEARING 40N/130W EXPECTED TO FURTHER AMPLIFY AS
IT CONTINUES ESE INTO NRN/CNTRL CA THIS EVE. THE FEATURE MAY BE
ACCOMPANIED BY SCTD DEEP CONVECTION/TSTMS ALONG THE NRN CA/SRN ORE
CST...MAINLY BETWEEN 00 AND 03Z TUE.

...LWR GRT LKS...
ELEVATED CAPE AND ASSOCIATED ELEVATED TSTMS SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN
THROUGH THE DAY OVER NRN OH/SE LWR MI AS LWR MI UPR VORT DRIFTS SEWD
INTO DRIER AIR...AND THE SYSTEM BECOMES FURTHER REMOVED FROM MAIN
BELT OF THE WLYS.

...S ATLANTIC CST...
CONVECTION/ISOLD THUNDER MAY OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE NC/SC AND GA
CST THROUGH THE PERIOD AS UPR LVL LOW GRADUALLY CONSOLIDATES OVER
REGION. THE STRONGEST AND MORE NEARLY SFC-BASED STORMS SHOULD
REMAIN OFFSHORE.

..CORFIDI/SMITH.. 11/03/2008

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