SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051505
OKZ000-KSZ000-051630-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2347
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0905 AM CST WED NOV 05 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...S-CNTRL/SERN KS INTO N-CNTRL/NERN OK
CONCERNING...OUTLOOK UPGRADE
VALID 051505Z - 051630Z
AREA WILL BE UPGRADED TO A MODERATE RISK AT 1630Z.
12Z MODEL DATA ARE CONSISTENT WITH 00Z HIGH RESOLUTION DATA SETS IN
SUGGESTING THAT THE MOST INTENSE TSTM DEVELOPMENT WILL LIKELY OCCUR
OVER S-CNTRL/SERN KS INTO N-CNTRL/NERN OK LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT. THIS STORM ACTIVITY WILL BE FOCUSED FROM NEAR THE TRIPLE
POINT OF COLD FRONT/DRYLINE SWD WHERE STORM MODE IS EXPECTED TO BE
MORE DISCRETE IN NATURE. THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY
AND RATHER STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR SUGGESTS THE POTENTIAL FOR
LONGER-LIVED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO.
..MEAD.. 11/05/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...
LAT...LON 36549750 37529748 38289671 38259576 37699521 36729485
35839512 35639611 35979724 36549750
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