SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140905
FLZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-141100-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2376
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0305 AM CST FRI NOV 14 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...FL PANHANDLE/SOUTHERN GA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 140905Z - 141100Z
AN ISOLATED TORNADO/WIND DAMAGE RISK MAY GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. A WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY EXPECTED...BUT
CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.
ONSHORE-MOVING TSTMS CONTINUE TO EXHIBIT MODEST/PERIODIC LOW LEVEL
ROTATION ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE BETWEEN PANAMA CITY AND THE
TALLAHASSEE AREA OVERNIGHT. WELL IN ADVANCE OF A LOW LATITUDE TROUGH
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO...THIS ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING
BENEATH DEEP/MODERATELY STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...WITH A
STEADY MOISTURE INFLUX OCCURRING IN THE LOW LEVELS /LOWER 70S F
DEWPOINTS/ FROM THE GULF. THE TALLAHASSEE WSR-88D AND RUC DERIVED
WINDS REFLECT AROUND 150 MS/S2 OF 0-1 KM SRH...AT THIS WILL BE
SUFFICIENT FOR OCCASIONAL LOW LEVEL ROTATION AMIDST AN INCREASINGLY
MOIST AIRMASS. WHILE THE OVERALL TORNADO/WIND DAMAGE THREAT SEEMS
LOW AT THIS TIME...A NON-ZERO THREAT WILL WARRANT CONTINUED
MONITORING...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A MORE APPRECIABLE SEVERE RISK
DEVELOPING LATER THIS MORNING.
..GUYER.. 11/14/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...TAE...
LAT...LON 31428409 30858343 29978392 29668525 30478572 31628523
31428409
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