Friday, November 14, 2008

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2379

ACUS11 KWNS 142029
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142028
GAZ000-ALZ000-142130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2379
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0228 PM CST FRI NOV 14 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 142028Z - 142130Z

...CORRECTED FOR BAD GRAPHIC...

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE RECENTLY INCREASED ACROSS SWRN GA INTO EXTREME
ECNTRL AL...LARGELY DUE TO SWLY FEED OF MORE BUOYANT AIR ACROSS
STEEPER LAPSE RATE PLUME OVER SERN AL/FL PANHANDLE. THIS ACTIVITY
ALSO APPEARS TO BE ENHANCED BY A SUBTLE BUT SIGNIFICANT MVC NEAR
WHEATLAND/YELLOWSTONE COUNTIES IN ECNTRL AL. BOTH VIS AND RADAR
IMAGERY CLEARLY SUPPORT THIS FEATURE AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE GRADUALLY

ORGANIZING AHEAD OF WHAT IS LIKELY A WEAK ZONE OF ENHANCED ASCENT.
GIVEN THE SHEAR OBSERVED...AND RATHER MOIST PROFILES...IT WOULD SEEM

PROBABLE THAT A GRADUAL UPWARD TREND WILL CONTINUE WITH
MULTI-CELLULAR UPDRAFTS EVOLVING INTO LINEAR STORM MODE THE MOST
LIKELY OUTCOME. DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE GREATEST THREAT AS
CONVECTION SPREADS DOWNSTREAM.

..DARROW.. 11/14/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...

LAT...LON 30718475 31738459 32358508 32758497 33328361 33108248
32148206 30668323 30718475

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