SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150419
SCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-150545-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2383
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1019 PM CST FRI NOV 14 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...THE FL PANHANDLE AND NRN FL/SRN GA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 931...
VALID 150419Z - 150545Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 931 CONTINUES.
SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS ROUGHLY THE ERN HALF OF THE
WW.
A BAND OF FAIRLY WELL-ORGANIZED STORMS CONTINUES MOVING EWD ACROSS
THE CENTRAL FL PANHANDLE AND ADJACENT SWRN GA ATTM...WHERE ROUGHLY
1000 TO 1500 J/KG MIXED-LAYER CAPE IS INDICATED. THIS CONVECTIVE
BAND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALLER-SCALE VORT-MAX EMBEDDED WITHIN THE
LARGER SHORT-WAVE TROUGH...WHICH CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY ENEWD.
WITH STRONG DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD/AMPLE SHEAR PERSISTING AHEAD OF
THIS FEATURE...EXPECT STORMS TO REMAIN WELL-ORGANIZED/POTENTIALLY-
SEVERE IN THE SHORT TERM.
SOME QUESTIONS WITH RESPECT TO THE DEGREE OF THREAT EXIST DOWNSTREAM
-- ACROSS SERN GA AND NRN FL E OF THE CURRENT WATCH -- WHERE WEAKER
INSTABILITY IS INDICATED. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS REGION
AND THE EVOLUTION OF THE CONVECTIVE BAND AS IT ADVANCES TOWARD THE
ERN EDGE OF THE CURRENT WW.
..GOSS.. 11/15/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...TAE...
LAT...LON 32738184 32238067 30688212 29228387 29128532 30358460
31458503 32668285 32738184
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