Thursday, January 1, 2009

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 011258
SWODY1
SPC AC 011255

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0655 AM CST THU JAN 01 2009

VALID 011300Z - 021200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...
FAST AND RELATIVELY LOW-AMPLITUDE FLOW WILL EXIST OVER THE CONUS
THROUGH THE NEXT 24H WITH STRONGER DISTURBANCES CONFINED TO THE
UPPER MS VALLEY/GREAT LAKES...AND AGAIN IN THE PAC NW. WEAK
ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL PERSIST ALONG RESIDUAL POLAR FRONT ESSENTIALLY
BISECTING THE NWRN/CNTRL GULF OF MEXICO FROM WEST-TO-EAST. MAJORITY
OF MODEL GUIDANCE EARLY TODAY SUGGESTS THAT ANY DEEP CONVECTION
SUFFICIENT FOR CG-LIGHTNING ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO REMAIN OVER THE
OPEN WATERS OF THE GULF...PERHAPS GRADUALLY SPREADING NEWD TOWARD
EXTREME SERN LA LATE IN THE PERIOD. GIVEN OVERALL WEAK FORCING
ACROSS NWRN GULF...AND FORECAST OF GRADUAL HEIGHT RISES THROUGH
EARLY FRIDAY...TSTM PROSPECTS OVER LAND AREAS APPEAR TOO LIMITED TO
SUPPORT A TSTM OTLK AREA.

...PLEASE REFER TO THE SPC EXPERIMENTAL TSTM PROBABILITY PRODUCTS
THAT COVER OFFSHORE AREAS...

..CARBIN.. 01/01/2009

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

No comments: