Thursday, January 29, 2009

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 291948
SWODY1
SPC AC 291945

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0145 PM CST THU JAN 29 2009

VALID 292000Z - 301200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH CENTRAL FL THIS FORECAST
PERIOD WHERE SURFACE HEATING HAS RESULTED IN WEAK INSTABILITY
/MLCAPE AROUND 250 J/KG/. THE LACK OF STRONGER LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE ALONG THE ADVANCING FRONT...DUE TO VEERED LOW LEVEL
WINDS...TO SUSTAIN UPDRAFTS AND THE PRESENCE OF WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES/INVERSION AT MID LEVELS PER ACARS SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THE
POTENTIAL FOR TSTMS WILL REMAIN LOW /LESS THAN 10 PERCENT/.

..PETERS.. 01/29/2009

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