SWODY1
SPC AC 191239
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0639 AM CST MON JAN 19 2009
VALID 191300Z - 201200Z
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...CENTRAL/SOUTH FL...
EXPECT SHALLOW CONVECTION TO PERSIST ALONG AND AHEAD OF A SOUTHEAST
ADVANCING SURFACE FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL AND SRN FL TODAY...WITH THE
COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO CLEAR THE SOUTH FL COAST LATE THIS
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. ADDITIONAL SHALLOW CONVECTION MAY ALSO
DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT ACROSS NRN FL NEAR REINFORCING COLD FRONT
MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. THROUGH THE LATTER HALF OF THE
PERIOD. REGARDLESS...LIMITED MOISTURE/BUOYANCY...WEAK
CONVERGENCE...AND AN ELEVATED WARM LAYER BASED AROUND 750-800 MB
SHOULD CONSIDERABLY HINDER CONVECTIVE DEPTH/POTENTIAL FOR CHARGE
SEPARATION TODAY. AS SUCH...TSTM PROBABILITIES ACROSS INLAND
CENTRAL/SOUTH FL APPEAR BELOW 10% GENERAL TSTM THRESHOLD...ALTHOUGH
ISOLATED TSTMS REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE ADJACENT EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO/ATLANTIC.
..EVANS.. 01/19/2009
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