Thursday, January 22, 2009

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 230042
SWODY1
SPC AC 230039

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0639 PM CST THU JAN 22 2009

VALID 230100Z - 231200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SWRN U.S...

00Z SOUNDING FROM FGZ INDICATES WEAK BUOYANCY HAS DEVELOPED WITHIN
MODESTLY STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT...ROUGHLY 7 C/KM THROUGH
6KM...OVER PORTIONS OF AZ. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY RECENT LIGHTNING
STRIKE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS NW OF FGZ. WITH LARGE SCALE
ASCENT SPREADING ACROSS THE SWRN U.S...SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL
PERSIST INTO THE DAY2 PERIOD. EVEN SO...DEEP CONVECTION SHOULD
STRUGGLE TO REACH LEVELS NECESSARY FOR SUSTAINED LIGHTNING
PRODUCTION AND GENERAL THUNDERSTORM AREA WILL NOT BE INCLUDED THIS
PERIOD.

..DARROW.. 01/23/2009

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