Saturday, February 7, 2009

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 071614
SWODY1
SPC AC 071611

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1011 AM CST SAT FEB 07 2009

VALID 071630Z - 081200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

LARGE UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO DIG SLOWLY SOUTHWARD OFF THE CA COAST.
COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES HAVE
OVERSPREAD MUCH OF SOUTHERN CA...WHERE FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW A
DEEPER CLOUD-BEARING LAYER AND GREATER POTENTIAL FOR CHARGE
SEPARATION TODAY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. NEVERTHELESS...MUCAPE
VALUES WILL REMAIN AOB 500 J/KG. VERTICAL SHEAR IS RATHER WEAK OVER
THIS REGION. HOWEVER...COOL THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL SUPPORT
MULTICELL CONVECTION CAPABLE OF HAIL IN STRONGER CELLS. ACTIVITY
MAY SPREAD INTO SOUTHWEST AZ AFTER DARK. ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS
ARE NOT ANTICIPATED DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO MARGINAL
NATURE OF MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AND WEAK WINDS BELOW 600 MB.

..HART.. 02/07/2009

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