Thursday, March 26, 2009

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0276

ACUS11 KWNS 261754
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261754
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-262000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0276
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1254 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN OK...SERN KS...SW MO...NWRN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 261754Z - 262000Z

ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL REPORTS...GENERALLY OF 1" OR LESS IN
DIAMETER...ARE EXPECTED. A WW IS NOT LIKELY.

A CLUSTER OF ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS HAS FORMED ON THE NOSE OF AN 850
JET WHERE WARM/MOIST ADVECTION WAS OCCURRING. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY
IS NOT HIGH...PRESENCE OF STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WITH 500 MB
TEMPS COOLER THAN -20 C SUGGEST THE FORMATION OF HAIL WILL EASILY
OCCUR. ENOUGH DEEP SHEAR IN THE CLOUD BEARING LAYER FURTHER SUGGESTS
A FEW OF THE STRONGER CORES MAY PERSIST FOR SEVERAL COUNTIES WITH A
THREAT OF SOME HAIL.

..JEWELL.. 03/26/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...

LAT...LON 35279594 35559619 35899670 36239721 36409728 37139665
37359577 37439505 37329452 37129406 36759379 36429363
36099385 35789431 35479518 35279594

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