Wednesday, April 8, 2009

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 080548
SWODY1
SPC AC 080545

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1245 AM CDT WED APR 08 2009

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...EASTERN GREAT BASIN/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...
EASTWARD ADVANCING UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED LEFT EXIT REGION OF
UPPER JET CROSSING THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES...COMBINED WITH OROGRAPHIC
LIFT/MODEST HEATING...WILL FAVOR A BROAD AREA OF ISOLATED TSTM
POTENTIAL TODAY ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/ROCKIES. SOME SMALL
HAIL COULD OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE UPPER
LOW...MAINLY PORTIONS OF WESTERN/SOUTHERN WY...BUT SEVERE TSTMS ARE
NOT EXPECTED.

...OHIO VALLEY TO CENTRAL/SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...
CLIPPER-TYPE IMPULSE AMIDST NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...IN
CONJUNCTION WITH A WEAK SURFACE LOW/TROUGH...WILL FOCUS THE
DEVELOPMENT OF LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION LATE THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING...LARGELY CENTERED ON EASTERN KY. AS SUGGESTED BY
00Z GFS/NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS...MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING/COLD
THERMAL PROFILES ALOFT SHOULD FAVOR CONVECTION OF SUFFICIENT DEPTH
FOR CHARGE SEPARATION AND THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TSTMS.

..GUYER/SMITH.. 04/08/2009

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