Saturday, May 9, 2009

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0785

ACUS11 KWNS 092231
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092231
GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-100000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0785
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0531 PM CDT SAT MAY 09 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MS AND AL...FAR NW GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 092231Z - 100000Z

A FEW SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS NRN MS INTO AL AND NWRN
GA...WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL.

SEVERAL VIGOROUS CELLS PERSIST ACROSS SRN AR INTO NWRN MS...ON THE
LEADING EDGE OF AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AS WELL AS ALONG A WEAK FRONT
ACROSS NRN MS/AL. ALTHOUGH DEEP LAYER WIND FIELDS ARE MARGINAL WITH
20-30 KT MID LEVEL FLOW NOTED ON AREA PROFILERS...STRONG
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES ARE IN PLACE WITH MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
AROUND 7.5 C/KM. THUS...EXPECT STORMS TO PERSIST FOR SEVERAL MORE
HOURS AS THEY DEVELOP AND PROPAGATE ESEWD INTO THIS MODERATELY
UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT. HOWEVER...WEAK FLOW FIELDS SUGGEST THE SEVERE
THREAT SHOULD BE ISOLATED.

..JEWELL.. 05/09/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON 34748922 34818764 34778552 34238451 33428470 32988505
32808622 32678739 32648923 32649094 32949095 33779090
34299029 34508994 34748922

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