SWOMCD
SPC MCD 212011
NMZ000-COZ000-212115-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0854
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0311 PM CDT THU MAY 21 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN NM/SERN CO
CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL
VALID 212011Z - 212115Z
HEAVY RAINFALL IN NEARLY STATIONARY STORMS WILL BE A THREAT OVER
NERN NM AND SERN CO.
DIURNAL STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED IN A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE AS
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO WARM. STORMS HAVE SHOWN MODEST ORGANIZATION
DUE TO 25 TO 30 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR. 12Z SOUNDINGS AND SATELLITE
DERIVED PWAT IMAGERY SHOW VALUES NEAR 0.75 INCHES...WHICH IN
COMBINATION WITH INSTABILITY WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT RENEWED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AND FAVORABLY
ORIENTED TERRAIN. CONVERGENCE WILL PRIMARILY BE FOCUSED ALONG THE
SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS IN NERN NM AND SERN CO AS A FRONT REMAINS
STALLED OVER THE AREA...AND AS BROAD NELY/ELY FLOW AROUND A LARGER
SCALE UPPER LOW FOCUS STORMS ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN. NEARLY
STATIONARY STORMS WILL PRIMARILY BE CAPABLE OF HEAVY RAINFALL WITH
HAIL...THOUGH GUSTY WINDS REMAIN POSSIBLE AS STORMS COLLAPSE.
..HURLBUT.. 05/21/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...
LAT...LON 36870330 36370411 36230510 36360579 36930592 37490548
37720504 37560402 36870330
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment