SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021914
MOZ000-KSZ000-022115-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0922
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0214 PM CDT TUE JUN 02 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN KS INTO WESTERN/CENTRAL MO
CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL
VALID 021914Z - 022115Z
HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE/POTENTIALLY INCREASE FROM
EAST CENTRAL KS INTO WEST CENTRAL MO THIS AFTERNOON. SOME THREAT FOR
HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS WILL EXIST MAINLY WITH SOUTHERN PERIPHERAL
DEVELOPMENT...BUT SUCH RISKS SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY ISOLATED/LIMITED
IN NATURE...WITH HEAVY RAINFALL THE DOMINANT HAZARD. A SEVERE WATCH
IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS WILL CONTINUE ALONG/JUST
NORTH OF EFFECTIVE SURFACE FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KS INTO WEST CENTRAL/NORTHERN MO...WITH OTHER
MORE ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT IN THE ADJACENT WEAKLY CAPPED/UNSTABLE
WARM SECTOR. A MODERATELY UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER /UP TO 2000 J PER
KG OF MLCAPE/ WOULD SUPPORT SOME PULSE-TYPE RISK FOR STRONG WIND
GUSTS/HAIL...MAINLY WITH FRONT-SOUTHERN PERIPHERAL DEVELOPMENT
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...WEAK LOW TO MID TROPOSPHERIC
FLOW/SLOW STORM MOTIONS...MODERATELY HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT...AND
MODEST BUT SUSTAINED LIFT /AHEAD OF WESTERN KS UPPER LOW/ SHOULD
FAVOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL/ECHO TRAINING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
ALONG THE I-70/I-35 CORRIDORS OF EASTERN KS...INCLUDING THE KC METRO
AREA...INTO WEST CENTRAL/NORTH CENTRAL MO.
..GUYER.. 06/02/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...
LAT...LON 38699221 37839428 37979614 39039622 39939287 38699221
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