Wednesday, June 24, 2009

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1300

ACUS11 KWNS 241829
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241828
ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-242100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1300
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0128 PM CDT WED JUN 24 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN LA...SRN MS/SRN AL/WRN FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 241828Z - 242100Z

ISOLATED SEVERE ACTIVITY IS ANTICIPATED BY LATE AFTERNOON WITH A
THREAT OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGH FROM SERN LA INTO
THE FL PANHANDLE. CU FIELDS WERE INCREASING ACROSS THE AREA...WITH
ISOLATED STORMS SLOWLY DEVELOPING OVER SRN AL AND THE WRN FL
PANHANDLE. OTHER STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM WWD ACROSS SRN MS AND
SERN LA LATER TODAY WHERE THE ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE.

MODERATE TO STRONG LEVELS OF DCAPE EXIST DUE TO DRY AIR ALOFT AS
WELL AS STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES. THUS ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. WIND THREAT WILL
INCREASE IF STORMS CAN BOTH FORM/MERGE INTO SMALL CLUSTERS AND
FORWARD PROPAGATE SWWD WITH A 30KT DEEP LAYER MEAN WIND.

..JEWELL.. 06/24/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...

LAT...LON 31919093 32329040 32338942 32278850 32218810 32268736
32268663 32298597 30318624 30308652 30258747 30188826
30118874 29768878 29438897 29038897 28868948 28959060
29149126 29779156 30459178 31429146 31919093

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