Friday, June 26, 2009

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1331

ACUS11 KWNS 261539
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261539
MEZ000-NHZ000-261715-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1331
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1039 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AND CNTRL ME

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 261539Z - 261715Z

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN GRADUALLY INCREASING FROM WRN AROOSTOOK CNTY
SSWWD INTO EXTREME NRN OXFORD CNTY ME. ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING AHEAD
OF AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT AND TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A
POSSIBLE WW.

STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED WITHIN THE WRN EDGE OF A LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY AXIS WHERE SBCAPE IS 1500-2000 J/KG. THE AREA IS
WITHIN THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF AN UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK WHICH IS
PROVIDING DYNAMIC FORCING FOR LARGE SCALE ASCENT OVER THE AREA.
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THINNING CLOUDS AHEAD OF THE
CONVECTION SUGGESTING THAT ENHANCED DIABATIC HEATING AND ADDITIONAL
DESTABILIZATION IS LIKELY TO OCCUR INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.
ALTHOUGH MID LEVEL WINDS AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR ARE MODEST AT BEST
/20-25 KT WINDS AT 500 MB/...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGEST DRIER
ENVIRONMENT IN THE MID/UPPER LEVELS WHICH MAY ENHANCE MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AND POTENTIAL FOR HAIL AND STRONG GUSTS.

..WEISS.. 06/26/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...

LAT...LON 44817118 45427047 46056968 46606951 47056971 47416945
47336834 47096808 45846799 45076819 44706978 44637079
44817118

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

No comments: