Sunday, June 28, 2009

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1368

ACUS11 KWNS 282004
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282004
VAZ000-WVZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-282100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1368
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0304 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR ERN KY/SWRN WV/WRN VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 282004Z - 282100Z

A SHORT-LIVED SEVERE THREAT EXISTS NEAR THE KY/WV/VA BORDERS.
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS CAN BE ANTICIPATED BEFORE
STORMS QUICKLY MOVE EWD AND DECREASE IN INTENSITY. A WW IS UNLIKELY.


CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY INCREASED IN ERN KY IN UPSLOPE ALONG THE
CUMBERLAND PLATEAU...AND ALONG A WEAK COLD FRONT THAT IS SLOWLY
PROGRESSING SEWD. RADAR TRENDS INDICATE A FEW STRONGER CORES...AND
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL HAS BEEN REPORTED IN MAGOFFIN COUNTY. A
NARROW AXIS OF WEAK INSTABILITY AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR NEAR 35 KTS MAY
SUPPORT A FEW STRONG STORMS OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO BEFORE STORMS
PROGRESS INTO THE APPALACHIANS INTO A MORE STABLE AIRMASS. GIVEN THE
SHORT WINDOW OF POTENTIALLY SEVERE STORMS...A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

..HURLBUT.. 06/28/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...OHX...

LAT...LON 36358166 35848312 36258398 36448469 36708476 37158396
37548335 38038257 38148208 37618144 36948143 36358166

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