Friday, July 3, 2009

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1417

ACUS11 KWNS 032043
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032043
KSZ000-NEZ000-032215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1417
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0343 PM CDT FRI JUL 03 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...SCNTRL/SERN NEB...NCNTRL/NERN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 032043Z - 032215Z

...SEVERE THREAT IS INCREASING ACROSS PARTS OF SERN NEB/NERN KS...

HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THAT DEVELOPED ACROSS PORTIONS OF
WRN/CNTRL KS IS BEGINNING TO INTERACT WITH STALLED FRONTAL ZONE NEAR
I-70...NORTH OF RSL. THIS CONVECTION SHOULD GRADUALLY PROPAGATE EWD
INTO A REGION OF VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR OVER NERN KS...MLCAPE
TO 3000 J/KG. WITH LLJ EXPECTED TO INCREASE MARKEDLY ACROSS ERN KS
INTO SERN NEB IT APPEARS A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF CONVECTION SHOULD
EVOLVE WITHIN THIS WARM ADVECTION ZONE BY 03Z. GIVEN THE SHEAR
PROFILES IT APPEARS SUPERCELLS MAY BE NOTED...ESPECIALLY
EARLY...HOWEVER ONE OR MORE MCSS COULD EVOLVE ACROSS THIS REGION BY
LATE EVENING. ALTHOUGH DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE
THREAT...ISOLATED TORNADOES COULD BE OBSERVED WITH NEAR-SFC BASED
SUPERCELLS EARLY.

..DARROW.. 07/03/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...

LAT...LON 41459827 40939618 39609543 38749578 38669732 39649801
40359907 41459827

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

No comments: