SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041952
COZ000-NMZ000-WYZ000-042145-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1429
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0252 PM CDT SAT JUL 04 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...CO FRONT RANGE INTO NERN NM
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 041952Z - 042145Z
STORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE CO FRONT RANGE AND INTO
NERN NM...WITH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...A WATCH IS
LIKELY NOT NEEDED.
SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A RIDGE IN PLACE OVER ERN CO...WITH N TO NELY
SURFACE WINDS...GRADUALLY VEERING TO ELY. THIS COMBINED WITH 30 KT
MID LEVEL FLOW IS RESULTING IN ENOUGH SHEAR FOR SOME STORM
ORGANIZATION. WINDS IN THE LOWEST 3KM BACK WITH HEIGHT AND ARE WEAK.
THUS...STRAIGHT-LINE HODOGRAPHS RESULT...ACTUALLY FAVORING LEFT
MOVERS OVER RIGHT MOVERS. BOTH MAY PRODUCE HAIL LESS THAN 1.00".
..JEWELL.. 07/04/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...CYS...ABQ...
LAT...LON 35900513 37980522 39320524 40640565 41080544 41060447
40670403 39230350 38120337 37280344 36450374 36130391
35890415 35830443 35900513
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