Monday, August 24, 2009

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1963

ACUS11 KWNS 240628
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240627
NDZ000-MTZ000-240700-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1963
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0127 AM CDT MON AUG 24 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN INTO NORTH CENTRAL ND

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 240627Z - 240700Z

THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED TO PERSIST FROM NWRN INTO NORTH
CENTRAL ND THROUGH 09-10Z. TORNADO WATCH 733 MAY BE LOCALLY
EXTENDED IN TIME AND AREA...OR A NEW WATCH MAY BE ISSUED FOR
NWRN-NORTH CENTRAL ND.

REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED LEADING EDGE OF TSTMS ARE ORGANIZING INTO
MORE OF LINEAR TYPE STRUCTURES WITH AN ENE MOVEMENT AROUND 30 KT.
LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSES AND 05Z RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THE
ONGOING STORMS...NOW ALMOST COMPLETELY LOCATED IN NWRN ND...ARE AND
SHOULD REMAIN ELEVATED. STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR /50-60 KT/...AND MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL MAINTAIN
POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED ROTATING UPDRAFTS WITH ATTENDANT THREAT OF
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

..PETERS.. 08/24/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...GGW...

LAT...LON 47540396 47980421 48670393 48960385 49180238 49149979
48999946 48709937 48039998 47640052 47540396

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