Tuesday, September 29, 2009

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 300044
SWODY1
SPC AC 300039

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0739 PM CDT TUE SEP 29 2009

VALID 300100Z - 301200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

TWO HIGHLY MERIDIONAL UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHS EXIST OVER THE CONUS...ONE
OVER THE WEST COAST AND THE OTHER OVER THE ERN COAST WITH AN
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IN THE CNTRL STATES. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE IN WRN ORE AND WRN WA WHERE LAPSE RATES ARE QUITE STEEP
ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVING INLAND. THIS TROUGH
AND A POWERFUL MID-LEVEL JET WILL APPROACH THE FOUR CORNERS AREA
LATE TONIGHT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY ALSO DEVELOP LATE
TONIGHT AS THE EXIT REGION OF THE MID-LEVEL JET MOVES ACROSS UT AND
WRN CO. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO INITIATE IN SOUTH TX AND
SRN/CNTRL FL WHERE MODERATE INSTABILITY IS CURRENTLY ANALYZED BY THE
RUC.

ELSEWHERE...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TONIGHT ACROSS THE
CONUS.

..BROYLES.. 09/30/2009

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