Wednesday, September 23, 2009

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 240050
SWODY1
SPC AC 240047

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0747 PM CDT WED SEP 23 2009

VALID 240100Z - 241200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NERN STATES...

PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTIVE BAND FROM SRN VT SWWD THROUGH SERN NY HAS
SHOWN A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND SINCE 00Z...AND THIS TREND WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZES. THE 00Z RAOB FROM
ALB INDICATES 30 KT SURFACE TO 6 KM SHEAR AND 1000 J/KG
MLCAPE...ONLY MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED STORMS. THE THREAT
FOR AN ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUST OR TWO MAY PERSIST THROUGH ABOUT
02-03Z AS ACTIVITY CONTINUES SEWD...BUT THE ONSET OF NOCTURNAL
COOLING AND THE MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT SUGGEST ANY
REMAINING SEVERE THREAT WILL BE VERY LIMITED.

..DIAL.. 09/24/2009

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