Friday, October 16, 2009

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 170028
SWODY1
SPC AC 170026

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0726 PM CDT FRI OCT 16 2009

VALID 170100Z - 171200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...PACIFIC NW...

WARM CONVEYOR IS QUICKLY APPROACHING THE PACIFIC NW COAST...PER
EARLY EVENING WV IMAGERY. THIS BELT OF MOIST ASCENT IS
CONDITIONALLY UNSTABLE WITHIN THE 850-500MB LAYER...SUFFICIENTLY
BUOYANT FOR ELEVATED CONVECTION AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LATEST
LIGHTNING DATA SUPPORTS THIS WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED OVER
SWRN WA...AND ROUGHLY 100 MI OFF THE ORE COAST. EARLIER FORECAST
HAS THIS WELL COVERED AND WILL MAINTAIN THE CHANCE OF CONVECTION
ACROSS THIS REGION FOR WARM CONVEYOR CONVECTION.

...FL...

DEEP CONVECTION IS QUICKLY DISSIPATING OVER THE PENINSULA...SHIFTING
OVER THE WARMER WATERS OF BOTH THE GULF STREAM AND GULF OF MEXICO.
THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND ANY SHOWERS
THAT LINGER OVER CNTRL/SRN PENINSULA WILL LIKELY REMAIN
LIGHTNING-FREE.

..DARROW.. 10/17/2009

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