Friday, October 16, 2009

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 160538
SWODY2
SPC AC 160537

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1237 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2009

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND WELL-DEFINED MID-LEVEL JET WILL MOVE
EWD ACROSS THE TN VALLEY AND GULF COAST STATES SATURDAY. AT THE
SFC...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE BOUNDARY IN SRN FL IN
THE LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH MODERATE INSTABILITY
IS FORECAST SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY...VERTICAL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO BE
TOO WEAK FOR ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST
ALONG AN INVERTED TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH A SFC LOW OFFSHORE. A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON IN SERN AZ AHEAD
OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST MAY ALSO ENCOURAGE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IN NRN
ORE AND SRN WA. NONE OF THIS CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BE ORGANIZED.

..BROYLES.. 10/16/2009

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