Sunday, November 22, 2009

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 230038
SWODY1
SPC AC 230036

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0636 PM CST SUN NOV 22 2009

VALID 230100Z - 231200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NRN/CNTRL FL NEWD ALONG THE SERN ATLANTIC COAST...

TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME FOCUSED OVERNIGHT OFF THE SERN ATLANTIC
COAST IN CONJUNCTION WITH DEEPENING SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH
APPROACH OF WEAKENING MIDLEVEL SYSTEM THROUGH THE CNTRL/SRN
APPALACHIANS. WHILE 00Z CHS SOUNDING SAMPLED RATHER STRONG VERTICAL
SHEAR...EFFECTIVE WARM SECTOR AND ATTENDANT SEVERE THREAT SHOULD
REMAIN OFFSHORE THROUGH TONIGHT.

FARTHER SW...TSTMS HAVE DIMINISHED ACROSS PARTS OF THE NRN/CNTRL FL
PENINSULA THIS EVENING...THOUGH SCATTERED STORMS STILL CONTINUE OVER
THE FAR ERN GULF OF MEXICO SW OF TPA. THIS ACTIVITY MAY ATTEMPT TO
MOVE ONSHORE LATER TONIGHT...BUT THE PRESENCE OF WEAK LAPSE RATES
AND MARGINAL VERTICAL SHEAR SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY SEVERE THREAT.

..MEAD.. 11/23/2009

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