Monday, November 23, 2009

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 240041
SWODY1
SPC AC 240040

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0640 PM CST MON NOV 23 2009

VALID 240100Z - 241200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CNTRL PLAINS...

TSTMS ARE DEVELOPING THIS EVENING INVOF SURFACE LOW NEAR SLN/HUT
WITHIN ZONE OF DEEP FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH AMPLIFYING
MIDLEVEL TROUGH. WHILE 00Z TOP SOUNDING INDICATED THE PRESENCE OF A
CAP...COMPARISON TO 00Z DDC SOUNDING SHOWS THAT CONSIDERABLE DYNAMIC
COOLING IS OCCURRING BELOW 400 MB IN CONJUNCTION WITH MIDLEVEL
SYSTEM. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS CONSISTENT IN SUGGESTING THAT
ADDITIONAL ELEVATED TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AS FAR NEWD AS
CNTRL IA ALONG AND N OF SURFACE LOW TRACK. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED.

...SRN PLAINS AND FL...

CURRENT FORECAST APPEARS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE WITH ONLY SMALL CHANGES
MADE TO THE CATEGORICAL THUNDER LINE.

..MEAD.. 11/24/2009

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