SWOD48
SPC AC 100813
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0213 AM CST TUE NOV 10 2009
VALID 131200Z - 181200Z
...DISCUSSION...
SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN VERY LOW UNTIL LATER DAY 5 OR DAY 6
WHEN MODEL CONSENSUS INDICATES THAT AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO
THE CNTRL STATES. MOISTURE RETURN IS EXPECTED TO BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED
AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM AND MODELS CONTINUE TO DEMONSTRATE RUN-TO-RUN
INCONSISTENCIES IN TIMING AND STRENGTH OF INDIVIDUAL SHORTWAVES
EJECTING OUT OF THE UPPER TROUGH. WHILE A MODEST THREAT FOR SEVERE
STORMS COULD DEVELOP OVER THE SRN PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY BY DAY
6...OVERALL PREDICTABILITY REMAINS TOO LOW TO INTRODUCE A RISK AREA
AT THIS TIME.
..DIAL.. 11/10/2009
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