SWODY2
SPC AC 170524
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1124 PM CST SAT JAN 16 2010
VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
SRN STREAM WILL REMAIN ACTIVE THIS PERIOD AS ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF
IMPULSES NORTH OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET MOVES INTO THE WRN STATES
MONDAY AFTERNOON ACCOMPANIED BY A COLD FRONT.
...CNTRL THROUGH SRN CA COASTAL AREAS...
WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER A LARGE PART OF CA EARLY MONDAY
WHERE STRONG UPPER DIVERGENCE AND LIFT WILL OCCUR IN EXIT REGION OF
APPROACHING SUBTROPICAL JET. CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE AS
STEEPER MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND COLD AIR ALOFT NORTH OF THE JET
AXIS MOVE INLAND. GREATER THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED IN
COASTAL AREAS WHERE ONSHORE FLOW WILL MAINTAIN HIGHER DEWPOINTS
BENEATH STEEPENING MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL
STRENGTHEN TO 60+ KT...AND SOME THREAT FOR CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED
ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL EXIST MAINLY FROM LATE AFTERNOON
INTO THE EVENING. WEAK INSTABILITY WILL PROBABLY SERVE AS A LIMITING
FACTOR FOR A MORE SIGNIFICANT SEVERE THREAT...BUT AREA WILL CONTINUE
TO BE MONITORED.
..DIAL.. 01/17/2010
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